2015 Season results for Los Alamos (GV,2-5A)

14   2   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1278     140
Strength     Momentum
1114   58.7(15)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  16W   6L   2T 
District  6W   0L   0T 
Expected  16:   3+   5- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/22/15 Farmington ?? 0.0001220L 1- 3 Worse (-3)1137 60%
08/25/15 at Bosque 0.0001185T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1243 59%
08/27/15 Moriarty 0.000458W 10- 0 Expected (+2)1376 98%
09/01/15 St. Pius 0.0011289L 0- 2 Worse (-2)1172 52%
09/10/15 at Hope Christian 0.0031392L 0- 5 Expected (-4)1094 34%
09/11/15 Mayfield !! 0.0061360W 2- 0 Better (+3)1408 43%
09/12/15 at Carlsbad 0.0071258W 1- 0 Better (+1)1330 49%
09/15/15 Albuquerque Academy ? 0.0101268L 0- 2 Worse (-2)1161 54%
09/17/15 at Rio Rancho 0.0161444L 0- 2 Expected (0)1273 29%
09/22/15 at Capital 0.0171074W 5- 0 Expected (+3)1440 70%
09/26/15 Taos 0.055816W 3- 0 Expected (-2)1186 91%
09/29/15 Robertson 0.047615W 6- 0 Expected (-1)1239 97%
10/02/15 Highland 0.067907W 6- 0 Expected (+2)1385 85%
10/03/15 at Bernalillo 0.107958W 3- 0 Expected (0)1280 80%
10/06/15 at Del Norte 0.147895W 3- 0 Expected (-1)1249 85%
10/10/15 Capital ! 0.1491074W 6- 0 Expected (+4)1468 74%
10/17/15 Piedra Vista 0.4391001W 3- 0 Expected (0)1279 81%
10/21/15 Bernalillo 0.608958W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1206 84%
10/22/15 at St. Michael's 0.6631262T 2- 2 Better (0)1282 49%
10/24/15 Del Norte 0.095895W 11- 1 Expected (+6)1595 87%
10/31/15 Belen 0.710975W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1316 82%
11/05/15 * Aztec 0.9911155W 2- 1 Expected (0)1255 64%
11/06/15 * Farmington 0.8501220W 3- 1 Expected (+2)1361 57%
11/07/15 * St. Pius 0.9401289L 0- 1 Worse (-1)1222 49%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Alamos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1114, while
Los Alamos's "weighted playing strength" is 1284
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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